Jim Tracy, as manager of the Colorado Rockies since May, was named NL Manager of the Year today. In a landslide. I'm not saying they didn't get it right, because the Rockies were shit in the early goings of 2009, and Tracy turned it around and they reached the NLCS. What I am saying is that he won't still be their manager by the start of the 2012 season. And that should actually not be a surprise to anyone anymore. I mean, I'm giving him two full seasons before they let him go. That's pretty good by coaching awards nowadays right?
Since 2002 in Major League Baseball, 6 of the last 11 managers (AL & NL) who won the award were with that team to start the third season after winning the award. Not counting Mike Brown who won the 2009 NBA Coach of the Year, only 2 of the last 13 winners reached the third season after. In fact, the last time the NBA had back-to-back winners who lasted into that elusive year three was Lenny Wilkins/Del Harris in '93 and '94. The NFL can actually claim some stability for its award. Only 3 coaches in the past 10 years have failed to reach year three after: Dick Vermeil, Dick Jauron (with Chicago), and Marty Schottenheimer.
Without being in Colorado to know what precipitated the Rockies demise that led to its eventual climb back to the top under Tracy, I am unable to know if the award is "truly" warranted. The stat sheet and the achievements seem to speak for itself though. I wish him the best in his grueling job as a pro sports manager. I just don't see him at his current position in a couple of years.
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